Lorenzo Sonego vs. Dusan Lajovic prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026

Lorenzo Sonego will face Dusan Lajovic in the round of 128 at the ATP Madrid event on Wednesday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Dusan Lajovic as the most likely winner of the Sonego vs. Lajovic match.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Sonego vs. Lajovic prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Sonego-Lajovic men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Lajovic a 51% chance of beating Sonego at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, both Sonego and Lajovic have an equal 50-50 chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sonego (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Lorenzo Sonego vs. Dusan Lajovic odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sonego vs. Lajovic picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Lorenzo Sonego to win.

Although Sonego is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sonego vs. Lajovic updates and essential details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Lorenzo Sonego and Dusan Lajovic is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 8:05 AM ET.

• Who: Lorenzo Sonego vs. Dusan Lajovic
• Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
• Approx. Time: 8:05 AM ET/5:05AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 128

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Dusan Lajovic, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat Lorenzo Sonego at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

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