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Lorenzo Musetti vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry prediction, odds, picks for ATP Hong Kong 2026
Get Musetti vs Etcheverry predictions for ATP Hong Kong.

Lorenzo Musetti will square off with Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the round of 16 at the ATP Hong Kong event on Wednesday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Lorenzo Musetti as the most likely winner of the Musetti vs. Etcheverry match.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Musetti vs. Etcheverry prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Musetti-Etcheverry men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Musetti a 76% chance of defeating Etcheverry at the ATP Hong Kong tournament.
Additionally, Musetti has a 71% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Musetti (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Lorenzo Musetti vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Musetti | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -301 | +260 |
| First Set | -250 | +200 |
| Game Spread | +3.5 (-108) | -3.5 (-126) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-106) | u22.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Musetti vs. Etcheverry picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Musetti | -301 |
| First Set | Etcheverry | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Lorenzo Musetti to win the first set.
Musetti vs. Etcheverry updates and essential details
The ATP Hong Kong match between Lorenzo Musetti and Tomas Martin Etcheverry is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 12:30 AM ET.
- Who: Lorenzo Musetti vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry
- Date: Wednesday, January 7, 2026
- Approx. Time: 12:30 AM ET/9:30PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Hong Kong, Hong Kong Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Lorenzo Musetti, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Tomas Etcheverry at the ATP Hong Kong tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Musetti vs. Etcheverry insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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