Lorenzo Musetti vs. Andrey Rublev prediction, odds, picks for ATP Hong Kong 2026

Lorenzo Musetti will face Andrey Rublev in the semifinals at the ATP Hong Kong event on Saturday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Lorenzo Musetti as the most likely winner of the Musetti vs. Rublev match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Musetti vs. Rublev prediction: Who will win and advance to the final?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Musetti-Rublev men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Musetti a 53% chance of winning against Rublev at the ATP Hong Kong tournament.

Additionally, Musetti has a 53% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Musetti (-0.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 24.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Andrey Rublev odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Musetti vs. Rublev picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: