Lorenzo Musetti vs. Alexander Bublik prediction, odds, picks for ATP Hong Kong 2026

Lorenzo Musetti and Alexander Bublik will lock horns in the final of the ATP Hong Kong event on Sunday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Alexander Bublik as the most likely winner of the Musetti vs. Bublik match.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Musetti vs. Bublik prediction: Who will win the final?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Musetti-Bublik men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Bublik a 52% chance of defeating Musetti at the ATP Hong Kong tournament.

Additionally, both Musetti and Bublik have an equal 50-50 chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Musetti (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 24.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Alexander Bublik odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Musetti vs. Bublik picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: