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Lorenzo Musetti vs. Alex de Minaur prediction, odds, picks for ATP World Tour Finals 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Musetti vs de Minaur predictions for ATP World Tour Finals 2025.
Lorenzo Musetti and Alex de Minaur will lock horns in the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 event on Tuesday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Alex de Minaur as the most likely winner of the Musetti vs. de Minaur match.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Musetti vs. de Minaur prediction: Who will win ATP World Tour Finals 2025 match?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Musetti-de Minaur men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives de Minaur a 70% chance of winning against Musetti at the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 tournament.
Additionally, de Minaur has a 66% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show de Minaur (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Lorenzo Musetti vs. Alex de Minaur odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Musetti | de Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +232 | -278 |
| First Set | +175 | -227 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-120) | +3.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (+100) | u22.5 (-128) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Musetti vs. de Minaur picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Musetti | +232 |
| First Set | de Minaur | -128 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is *Lorenzo Musetti to win.
Musetti vs. de Minaur updates and essential details
The ATP World Tour Finals 2025 match between Lorenzo Musetti and Alex de Minaur is scheduled to begin on Tuesday at 2:30PM ET.
- Who: Lorenzo Musetti vs. Alex de Minaur
- Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025
- Approx. Time: 2:30PM ET/11:30AM PT
- Tournament: ATP World Tour Finals Men's Singles 2025
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Alex de Minaur, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat Lorenzo Musetti at the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Musetti vs. de Minaur insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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