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Liverpool vs. Burnley prediction, odds, Premier League picks [1/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Liverpool vs Burnley predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Premier League action continues on Saturday at 10:00 AM ET as Burnley takes on the favored Liverpool at Anfield.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model projects Liverpool as the most likely winner of the Liverpool vs. Burnley game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Liverpool vs. Burnley prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Premier League match between Liverpool and Burnley 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 78.7% chance of Liverpool winning, a 7.3% chance for Burnley, and a 14.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 63% chance of going over, according to our model.
Liverpool vs. Burnley odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Liverpool | Burnley | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -425 | +1200 | +550 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -176 | +142 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Liverpool vs. Burnley picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Burnley | +1200 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -176 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Burnley to win.
Liverpool vs. Burnley: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Liverpool win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| LIV 2-0 BUR | 13% |
| LIV 3-0 BUR | 11.2% |
| LIV 1-0 BUR | 10% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 44.9% chance of the yes hitting, and a 55.1% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Liverpool vs. Burnley game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League matchup between Liverpool and Burnley at Anfield is scheduled to start in the USA at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Liverpool vs. Burnley
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Venue: Anfield
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Liverpool has a 78.7% win probability on Saturday, Burnley has a 7.3% win probability, and there is a 14.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Liverpool vs. Burnley insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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