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Leylah Fernandez vs. Jessica Pegula prediction, odds, picks for WTA Miami Open 2026
Get Fernandez vs Pegula predictions for WTA Miami Open.

Leylah Fernandez and Jessica Pegula are scheduled to meet in the round of 32 of the WTA Miami Open event on Sunday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Jessica Pegula as the most likely winner of the Fernandez vs. Pegula match.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Fernandez vs. Pegula prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Fernandez-Pegula women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Pegula an 82% chance of beating Fernandez at the WTA Miami Open tournament.
Additionally, Pegula has a 76% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Pegula (-5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 19.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Leylah Fernandez vs. Jessica Pegula odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fernandez | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +530 | -629 |
| First Set | +333 | -455 |
| Game Spread | +5.5 (-120) | -5.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o19.5 (-128) | u19.5 (-104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fernandez vs. Pegula picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fernandez | +530 |
| First Set | Pegula | -104 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Leylah Fernandez to win.
Although Fernandez is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fernandez vs. Pegula updates and essential details
The WTA Miami Open match between Leylah Fernandez and Jessica Pegula is scheduled to begin on Sunday at 12:00 PM ET.
- Who: Leylah Fernandez vs. Jessica Pegula
- Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
- Approx. Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Miami, USA Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Jessica Pegula, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat Leylah Fernandez at the WTA Miami Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Fernandez vs. Pegula insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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