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Leylah Fernandez vs. Iva Jovic prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Fernandez vs Jovic predictions for WTA Madrid Open.
Leylah Fernandez will square off with Iva Jovic in the round of 32 at the WTA Madrid event on Saturday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Iva Jovic as the most likely winner of the Fernandez vs. Jovic match.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Fernandez vs. Jovic prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Fernandez-Jovic women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Jovic a 54% chance of defeating Fernandez at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Jovic has a 54% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Fernandez (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Leylah Fernandez vs. Iva Jovic odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fernandez | Jovic |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +134 | -160 |
| First Set | +120 | -152 |
| Game Spread | +2.5 (-112) | -2.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-105) | u21.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fernandez vs. Jovic picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fernandez | +134 |
| First Set | Jovic | -105 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Leylah Fernandez to win.
Although Fernandez is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fernandez vs. Jovic updates and essential details
The WTA Madrid Open match between Leylah Fernandez and Iva Jovic is scheduled to commence on Saturday at 6:10 AM ET.
- Who: Leylah Fernandez vs. Iva Jovic
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Approx. Time: 6:10 AM ET/3:10AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Iva Jovic, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Leylah Fernandez at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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