...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
Leeds vs. Sunderland prediction, odds, Premier League picks [3/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Leeds vs Sunderland predictions for Premier League Tuesday.
Leeds and Sunderland will meet in the Premier League at Elland Road on Tuesday, with kickoff at 2:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Premier League model predicts Leeds as the most likely winner of the Leeds vs. Sunderland game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Leeds vs. Sunderland prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Premier League match between Leeds and Sunderland 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 48.4% chance of Leeds winning, a 24.5% chance for Sunderland, and a 27.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 59% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Leeds vs. Sunderland odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Leeds | Sunderland | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -110 | +350 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +114 | -140 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Leeds vs. Sunderland picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sunderland | +350 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -140 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sunderland to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Leeds vs. Sunderland: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Leeds win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Leeds 1-0 Sunderland | 13.7% |
| Leeds 1-1 Sunderland | 12.6% |
| Leeds 0-0 Sunderland | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 45.4% chance that both Leeds and Sunderland score, and a 54.6% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
Leeds vs. Sunderland game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's Premier League action between Leeds and Sunderland at Elland Road is scheduled to begin in the USA at 2:30 PM ET.
- Who: Leeds vs. Sunderland
- Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
- Time: 2:30 PM ET/11:30AM PT
- Venue: Elland Road
World Cup 2026 watch: Brenden Aaronson (USA)
Leeds United midfielder Brenden Aaronson is a key name to follow for USMNT supporters at the moment as anticipation builds as we approach the FIFA World Cup 2026—an event driving heavy demand for World Cup news and early conversation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States placed alongside Australia, Paraguay, and one of Türkiye, Romania, Slovakia, or Kosovo in Group D next year, Aaronson's Premier League form will be monitored closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Leeds has a 48.4% win probability on Tuesday, Sunderland has a 24.5% win probability, and there is a 27.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Leeds vs. Sunderland insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
Advertiser disclosure