Leeds vs. Sunderland Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Leeds vs. Sunderland Premier League match on March 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Sunderland
1
0
Mar 3, 2:30 PM ET Elland Road
Leeds
Mar 3, 2:30 PM ET Elland Road
LeedsLU
Score Summary
SunderlandSUN
H. Diarra (pen.) (70')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Leeds
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Sunderland
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
W. Gnonto (Leeds) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: C. Rigg replaces B. Traore
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: B. Traore replaces N. Angulo
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces J. Bogle
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Bijol replaces G. Gudmundsson
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: D. James replaces J. Justin
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces B. Aaronson
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sunderland by H. Diarra (pen.)
1-0
64'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
63'
Yellow Card
O. Alderete (Sunderland) cautioned
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces I. Gruev
58'
Yellow Card
H. Diarra (Sunderland) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: G. Xhaka replaces L. Geertruida
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: W. Isidor replaces E. Mayenda
45'
Yellow Card
L. O'Nien (Sunderland) cautioned

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Leeds vs. Sunderland: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Sunderland
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Leeds -120, Sunderland +360, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+108/-132)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Leeds: 48.8%
  • Sunderland: 24.3%
  • Draw: 27.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Leeds 1-0 Sunderland (13.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Leeds vs. Sunderland? Prediction & correct score

Leeds is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.8%.

The most likely correct score is Leeds 1-0 Sunderland.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Leeds vs. Sunderland, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.