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Leeds vs. Sunderland Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Leeds vs. Sunderland at the Premier League on March 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Sunderland
1
0
Mar 3, 7:30PM Elland Road
Leeds
Mar 3, 7:30PM Elland Road
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
LeedsLU
Score Summary
SunderlandSUN
H. Diarra (pen.) (70')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LU
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
SUN
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
W. Gnonto (Leeds) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: C. Rigg replaces B. Traore
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: B. Traore replaces N. Angulo
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces J. Bogle
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Bijol replaces G. Gudmundsson
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: D. James replaces J. Justin
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces B. Aaronson
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sunderland by H. Diarra (pen.)
1-0
64'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
63'
Yellow Card
O. Alderete (Sunderland) cautioned
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces I. Gruev
58'
Yellow Card
H. Diarra (Sunderland) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: G. Xhaka replaces L. Geertruida
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: W. Isidor replaces E. Mayenda
45'
Yellow Card
L. O'Nien (Sunderland) cautioned

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Leeds vs. Sunderland: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Leeds vs. Sunderland prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Sunderland
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Leeds -120, Sunderland +360, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+108/-132)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Leeds: 48.8%
  • Sunderland: 24.3%
  • Draw: 27.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Leeds 1-0 Sunderland, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Leeds is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 48.8% probability, while Sunderland sits at 24.3%, with the draw at 27.0%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Leeds vs. Sunderland prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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