Leeds vs. Sunderland Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Leeds vs. Sunderland Premier League match on March 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Sunderland
1
0
Elland Road
Leeds
Elland Road
LeedsLU
Score Summary
SunderlandSUN
H. Diarra (pen.) (70')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Leeds
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Sunderland
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    W. Gnonto (Leeds) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: C. Rigg replaces B. Traore
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: B. Traore replaces N. Angulo
  4. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces J. Bogle
  5. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: J. Bijol replaces G. Gudmundsson
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: D. James replaces J. Justin
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces B. Aaronson
  8. 70'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sunderland by H. Diarra (pen.)
    1-0
  9. 64'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
  10. 63'
    Yellow Card
    O. Alderete (Sunderland) cautioned
  11. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces I. Gruev
  12. 58'
    Yellow Card
    H. Diarra (Sunderland) cautioned
  13. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: G. Xhaka replaces L. Geertruida
  14. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: W. Isidor replaces E. Mayenda
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    L. O'Nien (Sunderland) cautioned

Leeds vs. Sunderland: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Sunderland
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Leeds -120, Sunderland +360, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+108/-132)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Leeds: 48.8%
  • Sunderland: 24.3%
  • Draw: 27.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Leeds 1-0 Sunderland (13.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Leeds vs. Sunderland? Prediction & correct score

Leeds is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.8%.

The most likely correct score is Leeds 1-0 Sunderland.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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