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Leeds vs. Manchester United prediction, odds, Premier League picks [1/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Leeds vs Manchester United predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Leeds will face Manchester United in Premier League action at Elland Road on Sunday, starting at 7:30 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model predicts Manchester United as the most likely winner of the Leeds vs. Manchester United game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Leeds vs. Manchester United prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Leeds and Manchester United 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 36.0% chance of Leeds winning, a 39.5% chance for Manchester United, and a 24.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 57% chance of going over, according to our model.
Leeds vs. Manchester United odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Leeds | Manchester United | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +160 | +170 | +255 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -120 | -102 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Leeds vs. Manchester United picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Manchester United | +170 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -120 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Manchester United to win.
Leeds vs. Manchester United: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Leeds 1-1 MUN | 11.4% |
| Leeds 1-2 MUN | 8.6% |
| Leeds 2-1 MUN | 8.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.6% chance that both teams scoring, and a 40.4% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Leeds vs. Manchester United game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League matchup between Leeds and Manchester United at Elland Road is scheduled to begin in the USA at 7:30 AM ET.
- Who: Leeds vs. Manchester United
- Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Time: 7:30 AM ET/4:30AM PT
- Venue: Elland Road
World Cup 2026 watch: Brenden Aaronson (USA)
Leeds United midfielder Brenden Aaronson is firmly on the radar for USMNT fans at the moment as excitement ramps up ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup predictions and early speculation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and one of Türkiye, Romania, Slovakia, or Kosovo in Group D next year, Aaronson's form will be monitored closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Leeds has a 36.0% win probability on Sunday, Manchester United has a 39.5% win probability, and there is a 24.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Leeds vs. Manchester United insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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