Leeds vs. Manchester United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Leeds vs. Manchester United Premier League match on January 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Manchester United
1
:
1
Elland Road
Leeds
Elland Road
LeedsLU
Score Summary
Manchester UnitedMNU
B. Aaronson (62')
Soccer ball icon
M. Cunha (65')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Leeds
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Manchester United
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces B. Aaronson
  2. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: A. Tanaka replaces I. Gruev
  3. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces S. Bornauw
  4. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces N. Okafor
  5. 65'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by M. Cunha, assisted by J. Zirkzee
    1-1
  6. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: J. Zirkzee replaces L. Yoro
  7. 62'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by B. Aaronson, assisted by P. Struijk
    0-1
  8. 34'
    Yellow Card
    P. Dorgu (Manchester Utd) cautioned

Leeds vs. Manchester United: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Manchester United
  • Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Leeds +170, Manchester United +165, draw +235
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Leeds: 35.2%
  • Manchester United: 39.8%
  • Draw: 25.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Leeds 1-1 Manchester United (11.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Leeds vs. Manchester United? Prediction & correct score

Manchester United is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.8%.

The most likely correct score is Leeds 1-1 Manchester United.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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