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Leeds vs. Manchester United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Leeds vs. Manchester United Premier League game on January 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Manchester United
1
:
1
Jan 4, 12:30PM Elland Road
Leeds
Jan 4, 12:30PM Elland Road
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
LeedsLU
Score Summary
Manchester UnitedMNU
B. Aaronson (62')
M. Cunha (65')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LU
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
MNU
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces B. Aaronson
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: A. Tanaka replaces I. Gruev
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces S. Bornauw
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces N. Okafor
65'
Goal scored for Manchester Utd by M. Cunha, assisted by J. Zirkzee
1-1
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester Utd: J. Zirkzee replaces L. Yoro
62'
Goal scored for Leeds by B. Aaronson, assisted by P. Struijk
0-1
34'
Yellow Card
P. Dorgu (Manchester Utd) cautioned

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Leeds vs. Manchester United: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Manchester United
  • Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Leeds +170, Manchester United +165, Draw +235
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+100/-115)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Leeds: 35.2%
  • Manchester United: 39.8%
  • Draw: 25.0%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Leeds 1-1 Manchester United, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Leeds a win probability of 35.2%, while Manchester United has a win probability of 39.8%. The chance of a draw is 25.0%.

Summary

Our Leeds vs. Manchester United predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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