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Read Article Leeds vs. Brighton prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Leeds vs Brighton predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Leeds will face Brighton in Premier League action at Elland Road on Sunday, starting at 10:00 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Brighton as the most likely winner of the Leeds vs. Brighton game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Leeds vs. Brighton prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between Leeds and Brighton, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 31.8% chance of Leeds winning, a 43.1% chance for Brighton, and a 25.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.
Leeds vs. Brighton odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Leeds | Brighton | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +265 | +110 | +255 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -110 | -110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Leeds vs. Brighton picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Leeds | +265 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -110 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Leeds to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Leeds vs. Brighton: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Leeds 1-1 BRI | 11.9% |
| Leeds 0-1 BRI | 9.3% |
| Leeds 1-2 BRI | 9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.2% chance of both Leeds and Brighton finding the net and a 43.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Leeds vs. Brighton game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League action between Leeds and Brighton at Elland Road is scheduled to start in the USA at 10:00 AM ET.
World Cup 2026 watch: Brenden Aaronson (USA)
Leeds United midfielder Brenden Aaronson is a key name to follow for USMNT fans this season as anticipation ramps up in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026—an event already generating plenty of World Cup news and early discussions about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Aaronson's club form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Leeds has a 31.8% win probability on Sunday, Brighton has a 43.1% win probability, and there is a 25.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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