Leeds vs. Brighton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Leeds vs. Brighton Premier League match on May 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Brighton
0
1
Elland Road
Leeds
Elland Road
LeedsLU
Score Summary
BrightonBHA
D. Calvert-Lewin (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Leeds
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Brighton
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: S. Byram replaces S. Bornauw
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: S. March replaces Y. Minteh
  3. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by D. Calvert-Lewin
    0-1
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    D. Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) cautioned
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: Y. Ayari replaces C. Baleba
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: C. Kostoulas replaces J. Hinshelwood
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces A. Stach
  8. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: G. Rutter replaces D. Welbeck
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: D. Gomez replaces J. Veltman
  10. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces D. James
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: S. Longstaff replaces A. Tanaka
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces B. Aaronson

Leeds vs. Brighton: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Brighton
  • Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Leeds +265, Brighton +110, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-103)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Leeds: 31.8%
  • Brighton: 43.1%
  • Draw: 25.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Leeds 1-1 Brighton (11.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Leeds vs. Brighton? Prediction & correct score

Brighton is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.1%.

The most likely correct score is Leeds 1-1 Brighton.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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