Chelsea vs. Bournemouth prediction, odds, Premier League picks [10/10/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Chelsea and Bournemouth, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 56.9% chance of Chelsea winning, a 22.2% chance for Bournemouth, and a 20.9% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 64.9% chance of going over., with a 62.5% probability that both teams find the net.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Bournemouth +376, Chelsea -138
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-186/+182)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Bournemouth @ +376 via Novig
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -186 via Polymarket

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bournemouth to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Chelsea win being the most probable:

• Chelsea 2-1 Bournemouth (9.7% probability)
• Chelsea 1-1 Bournemouth (9.2%)
• Chelsea 2-0 Bournemouth (7.8%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 62.5% chance of both Chelsea and Bournemouth finding the net and a 37.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Premier League matchup between Chelsea and Bournemouth at Stamford Bridge is scheduled to start in the United States at 10:00 AM ET.

• Who: Chelsea vs. Bournemouth
• Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
• Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
• Venue: Stamford Bridge

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Chelsea has a 56.9% win probability on Saturday, Bournemouth has a 22.2% win probability, and there is a 20.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Premier League prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.