Laura Siegemund vs. Liudmila Samsonova prediction, odds, picks for Australian Open 2026

Laura Siegemund will square off with Liudmila Samsonova in the first round of the Australian Open Women's Singles 2026 on Monday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Liudmila Samsonova as the most likely winner of the Siegemund vs. Samsonova match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Siegemund vs. Samsonova prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's Siegemund-Samsonova women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Samsonova a 78% chance of defeating Siegemund in the Australian Open 2026.

Additionally, Samsonova has a 73% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Siegemund (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Laura Siegemund vs. Liudmila Samsonova odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Siegemund vs. Samsonova picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: