Karolina Pliskova vs. Sloane Stephens prediction, odds, picks for Australian Open 2026

Karolina Pliskova and Sloane Stephens are scheduled to meet in the first round of the Australian Open 2026 on Monday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Sloane Stephens as the most likely winner of the Pliskova vs. Stephens match.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Pliskova vs. Stephens prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Pliskova-Stephens women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Stephens a 66% chance of defeating Pliskova in the Australian Open 2026.

Additionally, Stephens has a 63% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -3.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the over 20.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Karolina Pliskova vs. Sloane Stephens odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pliskova vs. Stephens picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is *Karolina Pliskova to win.

Pliskova vs. Stephens updates and essential details

The Australian Open 2026 match between Karolina Pliskova and Sloane Stephens is scheduled to begin on Monday at 9:05 PM ET.

• Who: Karolina Pliskova vs. Sloane Stephens
• Date: Monday, January 19, 2026
• Approx. Time: 9:05 PM ET/6:05PM PT
• Tournament: Australian Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: First round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Sloane Stephens, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat Karolina Pliskova at the Australian Open 2026.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pliskova vs. Stephens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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