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Karolina Pliskova vs. Maria Sakkari prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Pliskova vs Sakkari predictions for WTA Madrid Open.
Karolina Pliskova and Maria Sakkari will meet in the round of 64 of the WTA Madrid Open event on Friday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Maria Sakkari as the most likely winner of the Pliskova vs. Sakkari match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Pliskova vs. Sakkari prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Pliskova-Sakkari women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Sakkari a 55% chance of defeating Pliskova at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Sakkari has a 54% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Pliskova (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Karolina Pliskova vs. Maria Sakkari odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pliskova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +123 | -145 |
| First Set | +110 | -139 |
| Game Spread | +2.5 (-122) | -2.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-110) | u21.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pliskova vs. Sakkari picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pliskova | +123 |
| First Set | Sakkari | -110 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Karolina Pliskova to win.
Although Pliskova is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pliskova vs. Sakkari updates and essential details
The WTA Madrid Open match between Karolina Pliskova and Maria Sakkari is scheduled to commence on Friday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Karolina Pliskova vs. Maria Sakkari
- Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Maria Sakkari, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Karolina Pliskova at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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