Karolina Pliskova vs. Iga Swiatek prediction, odds, picks for Wimbledon 2026
Get Pliskova vs Swiatek predictions for Wimbledon 2026.

Karolina Pliskova will face Iga Swiatek in the second round of Wimbledon Women's Singles 2026 on Thursday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Iga Swiatek as the most likely winner of the Pliskova vs. Swiatek match.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Pliskova vs. Swiatek prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Our leading predictive model currently gives Swiatek a 77% chance of defeating Pliskova at Wimbledon 2026.
Karolina Pliskova vs. Iga Swiatek odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pliskova | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +315 | -375 |
| Game Spread | +4.5 (-104) | -4.5 (-130) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-110) | u21.5 (-130) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pliskova vs. Swiatek picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pliskova | +315 |
| First Set | Swiatek | -130 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Karolina Pliskova to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pliskova vs. Swiatek updates and essential details
The Wimbledon 2026 match between Karolina Pliskova and Iga Swiatek is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 8:30 AM ET.
- Who: Karolina Pliskova vs. Iga Swiatek
- Date: Thursday, July 2, 2026
- Approx. Time: 8:30 AM ET/5:30AM PT
- Tournament: Wimbledon Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Second round
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Iga Swiatek, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat Karolina Pliskova at Wimbledon 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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