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Karen Khachanov vs. Luciano Darderi prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Khachanov vs Darderi predictions for 2026 Australian Open.
Karen Khachanov will square off with Luciano Darderi in the third round of the 2026 Australian Open on Friday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Karen Khachanov as the most likely winner of the Khachanov vs. Darderi match.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Khachanov vs. Darderi prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's Khachanov-Darderi men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Khachanov an 84% chance of defeating Darderi in the 2026 Australian Open.
Additionally, Khachanov has a 77% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Khachanov (-5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 36.5 games has a 61% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Karen Khachanov vs. Luciano Darderi odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Khachanov | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -435 | +350 |
| First Set | -278 | +220 |
| Game Spread | -5.5 (-126) | +5.5 (-108) |
| Total Games | o36.5 (-110) | u36.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Khachanov vs. Darderi picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Khachanov | -435 |
| First Set | Darderi | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 36.5 total games.
Khachanov vs. Darderi updates and essential details
The 2026 Australian Open match between Karen Khachanov and Luciano Darderi is scheduled to begin on Friday at 6:30 PM ET.
- Who: Karen Khachanov vs. Luciano Darderi
- Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
- Approx. Time: 6:30 PM ET/3:30PM PT
- Tournament: 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles
- Round: Third round
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Karen Khachanov, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat Luciano Darderi at the 2026 Australian Open.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Khachanov vs. Darderi insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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