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Karen Khachanov vs. Jakub Mensik prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Khachanov vs Mensik predictions for ATP Madrid Open.
Karen Khachanov will take on Jakub Mensik in the round of 32 at the ATP Madrid event on Monday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Jakub Mensik as the most likely winner of the Khachanov vs. Mensik match.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Khachanov vs. Mensik prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's Khachanov-Mensik men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Mensik a 55% chance of defeating Khachanov at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Mensik has a 53% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Khachanov (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Karen Khachanov vs. Jakub Mensik odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Khachanov | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +146 | -164 |
| First Set | +120 | -152 |
| Game Spread | +1.5 (-105) | -1.5 (-150) |
| Total Games | o23.5 (-110) | u23.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Khachanov vs. Mensik picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Khachanov | +146 |
| First Set | Mensik | -120 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Karen Khachanov to win.
Although Khachanov is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Khachanov vs. Mensik updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Karen Khachanov and Jakub Mensik is scheduled to begin on Monday at 2:10 PM ET.
- Who: Karen Khachanov vs. Jakub Mensik
- Date: Monday, April 27, 2026
- Approx. Time: 2:10 PM ET/11:10AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Jakub Mensik, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Karen Khachanov at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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