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Karen Khachanov vs. Alexander Shevchenko prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Khachanov vs Shevchenko predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Karen Khachanov will square off with Alexander Shevchenko in the round of 64 at the ATP Rome event on Friday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Karen Khachanov as the most likely winner of the Khachanov vs. Shevchenko match.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Khachanov vs. Shevchenko prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Khachanov-Shevchenko men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Khachanov a 72% chance of winning against Shevchenko at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Khachanov has a 67% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Khachanov (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Karen Khachanov vs. Alexander Shevchenko odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Khachanov | Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -250 | +205 |
| First Set | -227 | +175 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-112) | +3.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-105) | u22.5 (-126) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Khachanov vs. Shevchenko picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Khachanov | -250 |
| First Set | Shevchenko | -126 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Karen Khachanov to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Khachanov vs. Shevchenko updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Karen Khachanov and Alexander Shevchenko is scheduled to begin on Friday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Karen Khachanov vs. Alexander Shevchenko
- Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Karen Khachanov, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Alexander Shevchenko at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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