Jessica Pegula vs. Katie Boulter prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026

Jessica Pegula and Katie Boulter will lock horns in the round of 64 of the WTA Madrid Open event on Friday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Jessica Pegula as the most likely winner of the Pegula vs. Boulter match.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.

Pegula vs. Boulter prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Pegula-Boulter women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Pegula an 85% chance of beating Boulter at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Pegula has a 78% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Boulter (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 19.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Jessica Pegula vs. Katie Boulter odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pegula vs. Boulter picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: