Jessica Pegula vs. Jelena Ostapenko prediction, odds, picks for WTA Indian Wells Open 2026

Jessica Pegula will take on Jelena Ostapenko in the round of 32 at the WTA Indian Wells event on Monday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Jessica Pegula as the most likely winner of the Pegula vs. Ostapenko match.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Pegula vs. Ostapenko prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's Pegula-Ostapenko women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Pegula a 79% chance of beating Ostapenko at the WTA Indian Wells Open tournament.

Additionally, Pegula has a 74% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Ostapenko (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 19.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Jessica Pegula vs. Jelena Ostapenko odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pegula vs. Ostapenko picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: