Jesper De Jong vs. Gabriel Diallo prediction, odds, picks for ATP Hong Kong 2026

Jesper De Jong will take on Gabriel Diallo in the round of 32 at the ATP Hong Kong event on Tuesday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Gabriel Diallo as the most likely winner of the De Jong vs. Diallo match.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.

De Jong vs. Diallo prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's De Jong-Diallo men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Diallo a 62% chance of winning against De Jong at the ATP Hong Kong tournament.

Additionally, Diallo has a 60% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -2.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering**, while the under 23.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Jesper De Jong vs. Gabriel Diallo odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

De Jong vs. Diallo picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: