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Jelena Ostapenko vs. Jasmine Paolini prediction, odds, picks for WTA Miami Open 2026

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Ostapenko vs Paolini predictions for WTA Miami Open.

Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini Tennis Prediction.
Our Jelena Ostapenko and Jasmine Paolini tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Jelena Ostapenko and Jasmine Paolini will meet in the round of 32 of the WTA Miami Open event on Sunday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Jasmine Paolini as the most likely winner of the Ostapenko vs. Paolini match.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Ostapenko vs. Paolini prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Ostapenko-Paolini women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Paolini a 56% chance of defeating Ostapenko at the WTA Miami Open tournament.

Additionally, Paolini has a 55% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the +1.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the over 21.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Jelena Ostapenko vs. Jasmine Paolini odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Ostapenko Paolini
Moneyline +120 -142
First Set +120 -152
Game Spread +1.5 (-110) -1.5 (-122)
Total Games o21.5 (-120) u21.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Ostapenko vs. Paolini picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Ostapenko +120
First Set Paolini -110

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Ostapenko vs. Paolini updates and essential details

The WTA Miami Open match between Jelena Ostapenko and Jasmine Paolini is scheduled to commence on Sunday at 11:00 AM ET.

  • Who: Jelena Ostapenko vs. Jasmine Paolini
  • Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
  • Tournament: WTA Miami, USA Women's Singles 2026
  • Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Jasmine Paolini, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat Jelena Ostapenko at the WTA Miami Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ostapenko vs. Paolini insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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