Jaime Faria vs. Hubert Hurkacz prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026

Jaime Faria will take on Hubert Hurkacz in the round of 128 at the ATP Madrid event on Wednesday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Hubert Hurkacz as the most likely winner of the Faria vs. Hurkacz match.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Faria vs. Hurkacz prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Faria-Hurkacz men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Hurkacz a 69% chance of defeating Faria at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Hurkacz has a 65% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the +3.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 23.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Jaime Faria vs. Hubert Hurkacz odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Faria vs. Hurkacz picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 23.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Faria vs. Hurkacz updates and essential details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Jaime Faria and Hubert Hurkacz is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 11:10 AM ET.

• Who: Jaime Faria vs. Hubert Hurkacz
• Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:10 AM ET/8:10AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 128

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Hubert Hurkacz, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat Jaime Faria at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

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