Pacers vs. Magic prediction: Orlando favored to win Sunday's NBA game [1/4/2026]

The Orlando Magic will face the Indiana Pacers in NBA action at Kia Center on Sunday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Magic as the most likely winner of the Pacers vs. Magic game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Magic lineup will feature players like Paolo Banchero, Desmond Bane and Anthony Black, while the Pacers will rely on Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard and Aaron Nesmith.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Pacers vs. Magic prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Pacers and Magic 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Magic a 70% chance of beating the Pacers. Our predicted final score has the Magic winning 116-111.

According to our model, the Pacers (+6.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 228.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Pacers vs. Magic odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Pacers	Magic
Spread	+6.5 (-108)	-6.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+200	-235
Total	o228.5 (-106)	u228.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pacers vs. Magic picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Pacers +6.5	-108
Moneyline	Magic	-235
Total	Under 228.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Pacers +6.5 at the spread.

Pacers vs. Magic player props

Betting on Indiana vs. Orlando NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Kia Center.

Pascal Siakam is expected to lead the Pacers with 22 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists, while Paolo Banchero is projected to have 26 points, 9 rebounds and 5 assists for the Magic.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Pacers prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Pacers are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Pascal Siakam	22	6	3	2	40
Andrew Nembhard	17	3	6	2	35
Aaron Nesmith	15	5	1	3	29
T.J. McConnell	10	3	5	0	24
Jay Huff	8	4	1	1	21

Magic prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Magic:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Paolo Banchero	26	9	5	1	48
Desmond Bane	20	6	4	2	38
Anthony Black	19	5	4	2	37
Wendell Carter	12	8	2	1	29
T. da Silva	10	4	1	1	20

Pacers vs. Magic game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Magic and Pacers at Kia Center is scheduled to begin at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Indiana Pacers vs. Orlando Magic
• Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Kia Center

Conclusion

We predict the Magic, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers on Sunday, with Paolo Banchero projected for a game-high 48 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pacers vs. Magic insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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