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Iga Swiatek vs. Ann Li prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Swiatek vs Li predictions for WTA Madrid Open.
Iga Swiatek and Ann Li will lock horns in the round of 32 of the WTA Madrid Open event on Saturday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Iga Swiatek as the most likely winner of the Swiatek vs. Li match.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Swiatek vs. Li prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Swiatek-Li women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Swiatek a 90% chance of winning against Li at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Swiatek has an 85% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Li (+6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 17.5 games has a 62% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Iga Swiatek vs. Ann Li odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Swiatek | Li |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -1587 | +1120 |
| First Set | -909 | +550 |
| Game Spread | -6.5 (-130) | +6.5 (-102) |
| Total Games | o17.5 (-130) | u17.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Swiatek vs. Li picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Li | +1120 |
| First Set | Li | -130 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 17.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Swiatek vs. Li updates and essential details
The WTA Madrid Open match between Iga Swiatek and Ann Li is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 8:10 AM ET.
- Who: Iga Swiatek vs. Ann Li
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Approx. Time: 8:10 AM ET/5:10AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Iga Swiatek, with a 90% win probability, will likely beat Ann Li at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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