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Rockets vs. Pacers prediction: Why Houston is favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [2/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers predictions for NBA Monday.
NBA action continues on Monday at 7:00 PM ET as the Houston Rockets take on the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Rockets as the most likely winner of the Rockets vs. Pacers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pacers lineup will feature players like Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard and Bennedict Mathurin, while the Rockets will be led by Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson and Tari Eason.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Rockets vs. Pacers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA game between the Rockets and Pacers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Rockets a 68% chance of beating the Pacers. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 112-106.
According to our model, the Pacers (+6.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 218.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Rockets vs. Pacers odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rockets | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-105) | +6.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -250 | +210 |
| Total | o218.5 (-105) | u218.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rockets vs. Pacers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pacers +6.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Pacers | +210 |
| Total | Over 218.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Pacers +6.5 at the spread.
Rockets vs. Pacers player props
Betting on Rockets vs. Pacers NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Alperen Sengun is expected to lead the Rockets with 22 points, 10 rebounds and 6 assists, while Pascal Siakam is projected to have 23 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Pacers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Rockets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Rockets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun | 22 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 49 |
| Amen Thompson | 20 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 44 |
| Tari Eason | 16 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 34 |
| Jabari Smith | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| Reed Sheppard | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 28 |
Pacers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pacers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 23 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 40 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 16 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 35 |
| B. Mathurin | 15 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 14 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 29 |
| Jarace Walker | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
Rockets vs. Pacers game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Pacers and Rockets at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Houston Rockets vs. Indiana Pacers
- Date: Monday, February 2, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Rockets, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers on Monday, with Alperen Sengun projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rockets vs. Pacers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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