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Hailey Baptiste vs. Tatjana Maria prediction, odds, picks for WTA Miami Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Baptiste vs Maria predictions for WTA Miami Open.
Hailey Baptiste will square off with Tatjana Maria in the round of 128 at the WTA Miami event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Hailey Baptiste as the most likely winner of the Baptiste vs. Maria match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Baptiste vs. Maria prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Baptiste-Maria women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Baptiste a 78% chance of beating Maria at the WTA Miami Open tournament.
Additionally, Baptiste has a 74% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Baptiste (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 20.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Hailey Baptiste vs. Tatjana Maria odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Baptiste | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -403 | +390 |
| First Set | -333 | +250 |
| Game Spread | -4.5 (-134) | +4.5 (+102) |
| Total Games | o20.5 (+100) | u20.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Baptiste vs. Maria picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Maria | +390 |
| First Set | Maria | +100 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Tatjana Maria to win.
Although Maria is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Baptiste vs. Maria updates and essential details
The WTA Miami Open match between Hailey Baptiste and Tatjana Maria is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 2:30 PM ET.
- Who: Hailey Baptiste vs. Tatjana Maria
- Date: Thursday, March 19, 2026
- Approx. Time: 2:30 PM ET/11:30AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Miami, USA Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Hailey Baptiste, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Tatjana Maria at the WTA Miami Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Baptiste vs. Maria insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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