Hailey Baptiste vs. Marketa Vondrousova prediction, odds, picks for Australian Open 2026

Hailey Baptiste will take on Marketa Vondrousova in the first round of the Australian Open Women's Singles 2026 on Saturday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Marketa Vondrousova as the most likely winner of the Baptiste vs. Vondrousova match.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Baptiste vs. Vondrousova prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Baptiste-Vondrousova women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Vondrousova a 77% chance of winning against Baptiste in the Australian Open 2026.

Additionally, Vondrousova has a 72% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Vondrousova (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Hailey Baptiste vs. Marketa Vondrousova odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Baptiste vs. Vondrousova picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: