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Grigor Dimitrov vs. Pablo Carreno Busta prediction, odds, picks for ATP Brisbane 2026
Get Dimitrov vs Carreno Busta predictions for ATP Brisbane.

Grigor Dimitrov and Pablo Carreno Busta are scheduled to meet in the round of 32 of the ATP Brisbane event on Tuesday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Grigor Dimitrov as the most likely winner of the Dimitrov vs. Carreno Busta match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Dimitrov vs. Carreno Busta prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Dimitrov-Carreno Busta men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Dimitrov a 64% chance of beating Carreno Busta at the ATP Brisbane tournament.
Additionally, Dimitrov has a 62% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Dimitrov (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Grigor Dimitrov vs. Pablo Carreno Busta odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dimitrov | Carreno Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -187 | +175 |
| First Set | -189 | +150 |
| Game Spread | +2.5 (-104) | -2.5 (-130) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-110) | u22.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dimitrov vs. Carreno Busta picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Carreno Busta | +175 |
| First Set | Carreno Busta | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is *Pablo Carreno Busta to win.
Dimitrov vs. Carreno Busta updates and essential details
The ATP Brisbane match between Grigor Dimitrov and Pablo Carreno Busta is scheduled to start on Tuesday at 3:30 AM ET.
- Who: Grigor Dimitrov vs. Pablo Carreno Busta
- Date: Tuesday, January 6, 2026
- Approx. Time: 3:30 AM ET/12:30AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Brisbane, Australia Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Grigor Dimitrov, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Pablo Carreno Busta at the ATP Brisbane tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Dimitrov vs. Carreno Busta insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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