Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Sebastian Baez prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will face Sebastian Baez in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open on Monday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard as the most likely winner of the Mpetshi Perricard vs. Baez match.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Mpetshi Perricard vs. Baez prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's Mpetshi Perricard-Baez men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Mpetshi Perricard a 56% chance of beating Baez in the 2026 Australian Open.

Additionally, Mpetshi Perricard has a 56% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Baez (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 42.5 games has a 64% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Sebastian Baez odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mpetshi Perricard vs. Baez picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: