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Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli prediction, odds, picks for ATP Miami Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Mpetshi Perricard vs Ugo Carabelli predictions for ATP Miami Open.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will face Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the round of 128 at the ATP Miami event on Thursday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard as the most likely winner of the Mpetshi Perricard vs. Ugo Carabelli match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Mpetshi Perricard vs. Ugo Carabelli prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Mpetshi Perricard-Ugo Carabelli men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Mpetshi Perricard a 62% chance of beating Ugo Carabelli at the ATP Miami Open tournament.
Additionally, Mpetshi Perricard has a 60% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Mpetshi Perricard (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 25.5 games has a 62% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mpetshi Perricard | Ugo Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -182 | +162 |
| First Set | -175 | +137 |
| Game Spread | -2.5 (+100) | +2.5 (-155) |
| Total Games | o25.5 (-125) | u25.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mpetshi Perricard vs. Ugo Carabelli picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ugo Carabelli | +162 |
| First Set | Ugo Carabelli | -120 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Camilo Ugo Carabelli to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mpetshi Perricard vs. Ugo Carabelli updates and essential details
The ATP Miami Open match between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Camilo Ugo Carabelli is scheduled to start on Thursday at 1:50 PM ET.
- Who: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli
- Date: Thursday, March 19, 2026
- Approx. Time: 1:50 PM ET/10:50AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Miami, USA Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Camilo Ugo Carabelli at the ATP Miami Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mpetshi Perricard vs. Ugo Carabelli insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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