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Collingwood Magpies vs. Geelong Cats Prediction: Magpies Predicted to Win Saturday's AFL Round 8 Matchup [5/3/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Saturday's Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats matchup.

Collingwood Magpies-Geelong Cats Predictions and Game Preview.
Melbourne Cricket Ground sets the stage for the AFL matchup between the Collingwood Magpies and Geelong Cats this Saturday.

AFL action continues on Saturday at 5:35AM ET as the Geelong Cats square off with the Collingwood Magpies at Melbourne Cricket Ground.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Magpies as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Geelong-Collingwood game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Magpies are more likely to win, while the Cats have a lower chance of victory."

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Cats vs. Magpies predictions page.

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Magpies vs. Cats Prediction: Who Will Win Round 8 Game?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL game between the Cats and Magpies 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Magpies a 60% chance of beating the Cats.

According to our model, the Cats (+14.5) have a 61% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 172.5 has a 52% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 10:58AM, May 2
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
Cats
Win %
40%
60%
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See Matchup
Magpies
Cats GEE
Win %
40%
60%
See Matchup
Magpies COL
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Geelong vs. Collingwood Odds

We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Cats Magpies
H2H (Moneyline) +185 -233
Line (Spread) +14.5 (-115) -14.5 (-115)
Total o172.5 (-115) u172.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Magpies vs. Cats Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Magpies and Cats at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 5:35AM ET.

  • Who: Geelong Cats vs. Collingwood Magpies
  • Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025
  • Time: 5:35AM ET/2:35AM PT
  • Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Cats vs. Magpies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Geelong vs. Collingwood picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Magpies, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Cats on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cats vs. Magpies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on AFL

Keep up with the latest AFL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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