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Francisco Cerundolo vs. Daniil Medvedev prediction, odds, picks for ATP Miami Open 2026

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Cerundolo vs Medvedev predictions for ATP Miami Open.

Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedev Tennis Prediction.
Our Francisco Cerundolo and Daniil Medvedev tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Francisco Cerundolo will square off with Daniil Medvedev in the round of 32 at the ATP Miami event on Monday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Daniil Medvedev as the most likely winner of the Cerundolo vs. Medvedev match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Cerundolo vs. Medvedev prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's Cerundolo-Medvedev men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Medvedev a 74% chance of beating Cerundolo at the ATP Miami Open tournament.

Additionally, Medvedev has a 69% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Medvedev (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 21.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Francisco Cerundolo vs. Daniil Medvedev odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Cerundolo Medvedev
Moneyline +290 -357
First Set +220 -278
Game Spread +3.5 (+108) -3.5 (-142)
Total Games o21.5 (-132) u21.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Cerundolo vs. Medvedev picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Cerundolo +290
First Set Medvedev -102

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Francisco Cerundolo to win.

Although Cerundolo is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Cerundolo vs. Medvedev updates and essential details

The ATP Miami Open match between Francisco Cerundolo and Daniil Medvedev is scheduled to commence on Monday at 12:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Francisco Cerundolo vs. Daniil Medvedev
  • Date: Monday, March 23, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Miami, USA Men's Singles 2026
  • Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Daniil Medvedev, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat Francisco Cerundolo at the ATP Miami Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cerundolo vs. Medvedev insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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