Frances Tiafoe vs. Jason Kubler prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open

Frances Tiafoe will square off with Jason Kubler in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open on Sunday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Frances Tiafoe as the most likely winner of the Tiafoe vs. Kubler match.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Tiafoe vs. Kubler prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Tiafoe-Kubler men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Tiafoe a 77% chance of defeating Kubler in the 2026 Australian Open.

Additionally, Tiafoe has a 71% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Tiafoe (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 37.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Frances Tiafoe vs. Jason Kubler odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tiafoe vs. Kubler picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: