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Panthers vs. Penguins prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [4/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Florida Panthers vs Pittsburgh Penguins predictions for NHL Sunday.
The Pittsburgh Penguins will take on the Florida Panthers in NHL action at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday, beginning at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Penguins as the most likely winner of the Panthers vs. Penguins game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Panthers vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL matchup between the Panthers and Penguins, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Penguins a 63% chance of beating the Panthers.
According to our model, the Panthers (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Panthers vs. Penguins odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Panthers | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-120) | -1.5 (+110) |
| Moneyline | +205 | -230 |
| Total | o6.5 (-130) | u6.5 (+115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Panthers vs. Penguins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Panthers +1.5 | -120 |
| Moneyline | Panthers | +205 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +115 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Panthers to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Panthers vs. Penguins player props
Who will score a goal in Panthers vs. Penguins?
According to our model, Matthew Tkachuk is most likely to score an anytime goal in Panthers vs. Penguins.
Our projections give Tkachuk a 40.0% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is an 8.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Florida Panthers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Matthew Tkachuk | 40.0% |
| Sam Bennett | 34.7% |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 32.3% |
| Mackie Samoskevich | 22.1% |
| A.J. Greer | 18.7% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Rickard Rakell | 35.4% |
| Bryan Rust | 35.3% |
| Anthony Mantha | 29.8% |
| Sidney Crosby | 29.2% |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 29.2% |
First goal scorer predictions
Florida Panthers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Matthew Tkachuk | 8.2% |
| Sam Bennett | 6.8% |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 5.6% |
| Mackie Samoskevich | 4.0% |
| A.J. Greer | 3.1% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Rickard Rakell | 6.5% |
| Bryan Rust | 6.2% |
| Sidney Crosby | 5.5% |
| Anthony Mantha | 5.1% |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 5.1% |
Panthers vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between the Penguins and Panthers at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to commence at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Florida Panthers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
- Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Penguins, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Panthers on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Panthers vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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