Panthers vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Panthers vs. Penguins NHL game on April 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Panthers
2
5
PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
PPG Paints Arena
TEAM123T
Panthers
1 0 1 2
Penguins
3 1 1 5
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Panthers
    0%
  • Penguins
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Panthers
1 0 1 2
Penguins
3 1 1 5
P3 17:08 Dmitry Kulikov shot blocked by Kris Letang
P3 15:47 Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:42 Shot on goal by Noah Gregor saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 14:45 Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
P3 14:25 Shot missed by Nolan Foote
P3 14:15 Power play - Goal scored by Carter Verhaeghe assisted by Seth Jones and Matthew Tkachuk
P3 14:14 Power play - Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 13:58 Power play - Shot on goal by Seth Jones saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 13:12 Power play - Shot missed by Mackie Samoskevich
P3 13:04 Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 12:16 Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 11:35 Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 10:43 Power play - Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
P3 10:38 Power play - Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P3 10:22 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
P3 10:02 Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 09:52 Power play - Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
P3 08:20 Shot on goal by Vinnie Hinostroza saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 06:47 Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 05:56 Noah Gregor shot blocked by Connor Clifton
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:45
    Shorthanded - Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Jesper Boqvist in defensive zone
  3. P3 18:54
    Shorthanded - Ben Kindel won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
  4. P3 18:05
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
  5. P3 18:05
    Penalty to Bryan Rust 2 minutes for Delay of Game
  6. P3 17:08
    SHOT
    Dmitry Kulikov shot blocked by Kris Letang
  7. P3 17:01
    Sam Bennett won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
  8. P3 15:47
    SHOT
    Matthew Tkachuk shot blocked by teammate
  9. P3 15:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Gregor saved by Arturs Silovs
  10. P3 15:35
    Noah Gregor credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
  11. P3 14:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
  12. P3 14:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nolan Foote
  13. P3 14:15
    Tomas Nosek won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  14. P3 14:15
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Carter Verhaeghe assisted by Seth Jones and Matthew Tkachuk
    2-5
  15. P3 14:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Arturs Silovs
  16. P3 13:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Seth Jones saved by Arturs Silovs
  17. P3 13:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mackie Samoskevich
  18. P3 13:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Bennett saved by Arturs Silovs
  19. P3 12:45
    Penalty to Connor Clifton 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Sam Bennett)
  20. P3 12:45
    Panthers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  21. P3 12:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Arturs Silovs
  22. P3 11:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Daniil Tarasov
  23. P3 11:08
    Power play - Thomas Novak won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in offensive zone
  24. P3 10:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
  25. P3 10:38
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ben Kindel
  26. P3 10:22
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
  27. P3 10:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Daniil Tarasov
  28. P3 09:54
    Power play - Sidney Crosby credited with hit on Matthew Tkachuk in offensive zone
  29. P3 09:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
  30. P3 08:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vinnie Hinostroza saved by Arturs Silovs
  31. P3 07:48
    Panthers won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
  32. P3 07:11
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
  33. P3 06:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
  34. P3 06:31
    Power play - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  35. P3 06:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  36. P3 06:24
    Penalty to Connor Clifton 2 minutes for Misconduct
  37. P3 05:56
    SHOT
    Noah Gregor shot blocked by Connor Clifton
  38. P3 05:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Novak
  39. P3 05:17
    SHOT
    Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Gustav Forsling
  40. P3 04:42
    Donovan Sebrango credited with hit on Justin Brazeau in defensive zone
  41. P3 03:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Daniil Tarasov
  42. P3 03:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Daniil Tarasov
  43. P3 03:12
    Jesper Boqvist won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  44. P3 01:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jesper Boqvist saved by Arturs Silovs
  45. P3 01:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Vinnie Hinostroza saved by Arturs Silovs
  46. P3 01:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Seth Jones shot blocked by Ben Kindel
  47. P3 00:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
  48. P3 00:19
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
  49. P3 00:00
    Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  50. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  51. P2 19:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Daniil Tarasov
  52. P2 19:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jesper Boqvist
  53. P2 18:08
    Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  54. P2 16:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  55. P2 16:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mike Benning saved by Arturs Silovs
  56. P2 16:49
    SHOT
    Sam Bennett shot blocked by Ben Kindel
  57. P2 15:50
    SHOT
    Panthers shot blocked by Bryan Rust
  58. P2 14:47
    Panthers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  59. P2 14:03
    Panthers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  60. P2 14:03
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  61. P2 13:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Donovan Sebrango
  62. P2 13:18
    Nolan Foote credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
  63. P2 12:32
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
  64. P2 12:32
    Stoppage - Offside
  65. P2 12:15
    Panthers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  66. P2 10:49
    Panthers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  67. P2 10:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  68. P2 10:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Arturs Silovs
  69. P2 10:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Bennett
  70. P2 10:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Arturs Silovs
  71. P2 08:25
    Power play - Carter Verhaeghe won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  72. P2 08:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Tkachuk
  73. P2 08:11
    Power play - Sam Bennett won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  74. P2 08:11
    Penalty to Samuel Girard 2 minutes for Holding
  75. P2 07:50
    SHOT
    A.J. Greer shot blocked by Ben Kindel
  76. P2 07:35
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Mike Benning
  77. P2 06:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
  78. P2 06:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Daniil Tarasov
  79. P2 05:50
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in offensive zone
  80. P2 05:50
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  81. P2 05:35
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Donovan Sebrango saved by Arturs Silovs
  82. P2 05:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
  83. P2 03:42
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Panthers
  84. P2 02:38
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in offensive zone
  85. P2 02:37
    SHOT
    Samuel Girard shot blocked by Dmitry Kulikov
  86. P2 02:30
    Connor Clifton credited with hit on Jesper Boqvist in offensive zone
  87. P2 02:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Eetu Luostarinen
  88. P2 01:16
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
  89. P2 01:16
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  90. P2 01:13
    SHOT
    Connor Dewar shot blocked by Tobias Bjornfot
  91. P2 01:00
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Carter Verhaeghe in defensive zone
  92. P2 00:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Arturs Silovs
  93. P2 00:21
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in defensive zone
  94. P2 00:00
    Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  95. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  96. P1 19:12
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
  97. P1 18:20
    Shorthanded - Tomas Nosek won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  98. P1 17:49
    Sam Bennett won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  99. P1 17:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  100. P1 17:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gustav Forsling saved by Arturs Silovs
  101. P1 17:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jesper Boqvist saved by Arturs Silovs
  102. P1 16:50
    Panthers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  103. P1 16:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
  104. P1 16:15
    A.J. Greer won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  105. P1 16:13
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Cole Schwindt
    1-1
  106. P1 16:08
    Nolan Foote credited with hit on Kris Letang in offensive zone
  107. P1 15:44
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in neutral zone
  108. P1 15:44
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  109. P1 14:17
    Shorthanded - Ben Kindel won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
  110. P1 14:17
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  111. P1 13:29
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
  112. P1 13:29
    Penalty to Bryan Rust 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Mackie Samoskevich)
  113. P1 12:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Daniil Tarasov
  114. P1 11:53
    Sam Bennett won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  115. P1 11:53
    Stoppage
  116. P1 11:00
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in neutral zone
  117. P1 08:44
    Shorthanded - Tomas Nosek won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  118. P1 08:44
    Penalty to Donovan Sebrango 2 minutes for Delay of Game
  119. P1 08:39
    Tomas Nosek won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  120. P1 08:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
  121. P1 07:18
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against A.J. Greer in defensive zone
  122. P1 07:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  123. P1 06:57
    Shorthanded - Sam Bennett credited with hit on Connor Clifton in offensive zone
  124. P1 06:20
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Tobias Bjornfot shot blocked by Anthony Mantha
  125. P1 06:08
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Carter Verhaeghe shot blocked by Connor Dewar
  126. P1 04:47
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Panthers
  127. P1 04:46
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Arturs Silovs
  128. P1 04:45
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Eetu Luostarinen
  129. P1 04:45
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by A.J. Greer saved by Arturs Silovs
  130. P1 04:34
    Shorthanded - Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  131. P1 04:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Daniil Tarasov
  132. P1 03:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Daniil Tarasov
  133. P1 03:52
    Penalty to Sam Bennett 2 minutes for Misconduct
  134. P1 03:52
    Panthers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  135. P1 01:58
    Mackie Samoskevich credited with hit on Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  136. P1 01:54
    Rickard Rakell credited with hit on A.J. Greer in defensive zone
  137. P1 01:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Arturs Silovs
  138. P1 01:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Daniil Tarasov
  139. P1 00:00
    Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Stats
Panthers
STATS
Penguins
31Shots on Goal23
58% Faceoff Win % 42%
6/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 7/1
23Penalty Infraction Mins21
28Hits7
9 Shots Blocked 15
16Giveaways13
PanthersFLA
PenguinsPIT
31Shots on Goal23
58% Faceoff Win % 42%
6/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 7/1
23Penalty Infraction Mins21
28Hits7
9 Shots Blocked 15
16Giveaways13

Panthers vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Panthers vs. Penguins
  • Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Penguins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Panthers 33¢, Penguins 68¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Panthers: 37%
  • Penguins: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Panthers a win probability of 37%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Panthers in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Panthers vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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