Florida International vs. UTSA prediction: UTSA favored to win First Responder Bowl [2025]

UTSA will square off with Florida International in the 2025 First Responder Bowl at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Friday, with kickoff at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college football model predicts UTSA as the most likely winner of the Florida International vs. UTSA game.

This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

First Responder Bowl prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of the 2025 First Responder Bowl 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives UTSA a 67% chance of defeating Florida International. Our predicted final score has UTSA winning 33-25.

According to our model, UTSA (-5.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 59.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of going over.

First Responder Bowl odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Florida International vs. UTSA picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: