Elise Mertens vs. Lanlana Tararudee prediction, odds, picks for Australian Open 2026

Elise Mertens will square off with Lanlana Tararudee in the first round of the Australian Open Women's Singles 2026 on Sunday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Elise Mertens as the most likely winner of the Mertens vs. Tararudee match.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Mertens vs. Tararudee prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Mertens-Tararudee women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Mertens a 79% chance of defeating Tararudee in the Australian Open 2026.

Additionally, Mertens has a 74% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Mertens (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 20.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Elise Mertens vs. Lanlana Tararudee odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mertens vs. Tararudee picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: