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Elise Mertens vs. Belinda Bencic prediction, odds, picks for WTA Indian Wells Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Mertens vs Bencic predictions for WTA Indian Wells Open.
Elise Mertens will square off with Belinda Bencic in the round of 32 at the WTA Indian Wells event on Monday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Belinda Bencic as the most likely winner of the Mertens vs. Bencic match.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Mertens vs. Bencic prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Mertens-Bencic women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Bencic a 51% chance of winning against Mertens at the WTA Indian Wells Open tournament.
Additionally, Mertens has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Mertens (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Elise Mertens vs. Belinda Bencic odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mertens | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +104 | -119 |
| First Set | -111 | -111 |
| Game Spread | +1.5 (-120) | -1.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (+100) | u22.5 (-150) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mertens vs. Bencic picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mertens | +104 |
| First Set | Bencic | +100 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Elise Mertens to win.
Although Mertens is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mertens vs. Bencic updates and essential details
The WTA Indian Wells Open match between Elise Mertens and Belinda Bencic is scheduled to begin on Monday at 4:40 PM ET.
- Who: Elise Mertens vs. Belinda Bencic
- Date: Monday, March 9, 2026
- Approx. Time: 4:40 PM ET/1:40PM PT
- Tournament: WTA Indian Wells, USA Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Belinda Bencic, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat Elise Mertens at the WTA Indian Wells Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mertens vs. Bencic insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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