...
...
Read Article
Elise Mertens vs. Alexandra Eala prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Mertens vs Eala predictions for WTA Madrid Open.
Elise Mertens will take on Alexandra Eala in the round of 64 at the WTA Madrid event on Friday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Elise Mertens as the most likely winner of the Mertens vs. Eala match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Mertens vs. Eala prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Mertens-Eala women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Mertens a 72% chance of beating Eala at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Mertens has a 67% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Eala (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 20.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Elise Mertens vs. Alexandra Eala odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mertens | Eala |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -275 | +225 |
| First Set | -227 | +175 |
| Game Spread | -4.5 (-108) | +4.5 (-126) |
| Total Games | o20.5 (-105) | u20.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mertens vs. Eala picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mertens | -275 |
| First Set | Eala | -105 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Elise Mertens to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mertens vs. Eala updates and essential details
The WTA Madrid Open match between Elise Mertens and Alexandra Eala is scheduled to commence on Friday at 6:30 AM ET.
- Who: Elise Mertens vs. Alexandra Eala
- Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
- Approx. Time: 6:30 AM ET/3:30AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Elise Mertens, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Alexandra Eala at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
Advertiser disclosure