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Oilers vs. Golden Knights prediction: Vegas favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [3/26/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Edmonton Oilers vs Vegas Golden Knights predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Vegas Golden Knights will take on the Edmonton Oilers, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at T-Mobile Arena on Thursday, beginning at 9:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Golden Knights a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Oilers.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's Oilers vs. Golden Knights matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Oilers vs. Golden Knights prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL game between the Oilers and Golden Knights, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Golden Knights a 54% chance of defeating the Oilers.
According to our model, the Oilers (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Oilers vs. Golden Knights odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Oilers | Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-215) | -1.5 (+185) |
| Moneyline | +115 | -135 |
| Total | o6.5 (-114) | u6.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Oilers vs. Golden Knights picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Oilers +1.5 | -215 |
| Moneyline | Oilers | +115 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -105 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Oilers vs. Golden Knights player props
Who will score a goal in Oilers vs. Golden Knights?
According to our model, Pavel Dorofeyev is most likely to score an anytime goal in Oilers vs. Golden Knights.
Our projections give Dorofeyev a 39.2% chance of scoring a goal at T-Mobile Arena, while the star is a 7.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 38.8% |
| Zach Hyman | 38.4% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 23.8% |
| Jack Roslovic | 23.2% |
| Evan Bouchard | 19.5% |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 39.2% |
| Jack Eichel | 32.6% |
| Tomas Hertl | 29.7% |
| Mitch Marner | 29.6% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 25.2% |
First goal scorer predictions
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 8.3% |
| Zach Hyman | 8.2% |
| Jack Roslovic | 4.2% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 4.0% |
| Evan Bouchard | 3.5% |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 7.8% |
| Jack Eichel | 5.9% |
| Mitch Marner | 5.6% |
| Tomas Hertl | 5.4% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 3.8% |
Oilers vs. Golden Knights game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Golden Knights and Oilers at T-Mobile Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: Edmonton Oilers vs. Vegas Golden Knights
- Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Golden Knights, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Oilers on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Oilers vs. Golden Knights insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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