Oilers vs. Golden Knights Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Oilers vs. Golden Knights NHL game on March 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Oilers
4
3
T-Mobile Arena
Golden Knights
T-Mobile Arena
TEAM123OTT
Oilers
1 2 0 1 4
Golden Knights
0 2 1 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Oilers
    100%
  • Golden Knights
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Oilers
1 2 0 1 4
Golden Knights
0 2 1 0 3
OT1 02:25 Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Connor Ingram
OT1 02:11 Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Connor Ingram
OT1 01:09 Power play - Shot missed by Jack Eichel
P3 19:33 Shot missed by Jason Dickinson
P3 18:54 Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Connor Ingram
P3 18:25 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Brett Howden
P3 16:50 Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Connor Ingram
P3 15:48 Shot missed by Ty Emberson
P3 15:10 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Ivan Barbashev
P3 14:59 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Jack Eichel
P3 14:51 Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Adin Hill
P3 14:21 Matt Savoie shot blocked by Jack Eichel
P3 13:41 Connor Murphy shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
P3 12:03 Shot missed by Josh Samanski
P3 10:39 Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
P3 09:55 Shot on goal by Oilers saved by Adin Hill
P3 09:44 Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Adin Hill
P3 07:47 Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Adin Hill
P3 06:48 Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Adin Hill
P3 06:05 Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Adin Hill
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 03:07
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Brett Howden in offensive zone
  3. OT1 03:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  4. OT1 02:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Connor Ingram
  5. OT1 02:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Connor Ingram
  6. OT1 01:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jack Eichel
  7. OT1 01:02
    Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
  8. OT1 00:00
    Oilers won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  9. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  10. P3 19:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Dickinson
  11. P3 18:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Connor Ingram
  12. P3 18:46
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Matt Savoie in defensive zone
  13. P3 18:25
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Brett Howden
  14. P3 17:22
    Giveaway by Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  15. P3 16:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Connor Ingram
  16. P3 15:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ty Emberson
  17. P3 15:24
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in defensive zone
  18. P3 15:10
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Ivan Barbashev
  19. P3 15:03
    Giveaway by Noah Hanifin in defensive zone
  20. P3 14:59
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Jack Eichel
  21. P3 14:53
    Oilers won faceoff against Noah Hanifin in offensive zone
  22. P3 14:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  23. P3 14:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Adin Hill
  24. P3 14:21
    SHOT
    Matt Savoie shot blocked by Jack Eichel
  25. P3 13:52
    Jack Roslovic credited with hit on Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  26. P3 13:41
    SHOT
    Connor Murphy shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
  27. P3 13:14
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in defensive zone
  28. P3 13:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  29. P3 12:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Samanski
  30. P3 11:34
    Ivan Barbashev credited with hit on Connor Murphy in defensive zone
  31. P3 11:25
    Oilers won faceoff against Noah Hanifin in offensive zone
  32. P3 10:47
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  33. P3 10:47
    Stoppage - Icing
  34. P3 10:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
  35. P3 09:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oilers saved by Adin Hill
  36. P3 09:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Adin Hill
  37. P3 09:34
    Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Mitch Marner in offensive zone
  38. P3 08:32
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Keegan Kolesar in neutral zone
  39. P3 08:32
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  40. P3 07:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Adin Hill
  41. P3 06:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Adin Hill
  42. P3 06:21
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  43. P3 06:11
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Mitch Marner in offensive zone
  44. P3 06:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Adin Hill
  45. P3 05:31
    SHOT
    Mitch Marner shot blocked by Kasperi Kapanen
  46. P3 04:53
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Josh Samanski in neutral zone
  47. P3 04:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  48. P3 04:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nic Dowd saved by Connor Ingram
  49. P3 03:56
    SHOT
    Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Vasily Podkolzin
  50. P3 03:16
    SHOT
    Ty Emberson shot blocked by Colton Sissons
  51. P3 02:01
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in offensive zone
  52. P3 02:01
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  53. P3 00:00
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  54. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  55. P2 18:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Adin Hill
  56. P2 17:45
    Oilers won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  57. P2 17:45
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  58. P2 17:24
    SHOT
    Jeremy Lauzon shot blocked by Connor Murphy
  59. P2 16:42
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  60. P2 16:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
  61. P2 16:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Dickinson saved by Adin Hill
  62. P2 14:51
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
  63. P2 14:51
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mark Stone
    2-2
  64. P2 13:32
    Ty Emberson credited with hit on Mitch Marner in offensive zone
  65. P2 13:25
    Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  66. P2 13:25
    Stoppage - Icing
  67. P2 13:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kasperi Kapanen saved by Adin Hill
  68. P2 12:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Murphy
  69. P2 12:20
    Oilers won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  70. P2 11:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Barbashev saved by Connor Ingram
  71. P2 11:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Smith
  72. P2 11:20
    SHOT
    Jake Walman shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
  73. P2 10:45
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Adin Hill
  74. P2 10:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
  75. P2 10:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  76. P2 10:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Connor Ingram
  77. P2 09:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
  78. P2 09:17
    Shorthanded - Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  79. P2 09:17
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  80. P2 07:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ty Emberson saved by Adin Hill
  81. P2 07:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  82. P2 07:27
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
  83. P2 07:27
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Connor McDavid
    2-1
  84. P2 06:56
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  85. P2 06:43
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Vasily Podkolzin in defensive zone
  86. P2 06:26
    Keegan Kolesar credited with hit on Connor Murphy in offensive zone
  87. P2 06:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Golden Knights
  88. P2 06:11
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  89. P2 06:09
    SHOT
    Brett Howden shot blocked by Jake Walman
  90. P2 05:03
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  91. P2 04:09
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Matt Savoie in neutral zone
  92. P2 04:09
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mark Stone
    1-1
  93. P2 04:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Connor Ingram
  94. P2 03:17
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
  95. P2 03:17
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  96. P2 02:42
    Keegan Kolesar credited with hit on Mattias Ekholm in offensive zone
  97. P2 02:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oilers saved by Adin Hill
  98. P2 01:50
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
  99. P2 01:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  100. P2 01:01
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Mark Stone in offensive zone
  101. P2 00:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Eichel
  102. P2 00:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Hyman
  103. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  104. P1 19:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Dickinson
  105. P1 18:40
    SHOT
    Jake Walman shot blocked by Mitch Marner
  106. P1 17:08
    SHOT
    Max Jones shot blocked by Nic Dowd
  107. P1 17:00
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
  108. P1 17:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  109. P1 16:49
    Oilers won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  110. P1 16:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins saved by Adin Hill
  111. P1 16:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Adin Hill
  112. P1 16:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Jack Eichel shot blocked by teammate
  113. P1 15:57
    Oilers won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  114. P1 15:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  115. P1 14:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Connor Ingram
  116. P1 14:13
    Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Brett Howden in defensive zone
  117. P1 14:13
    Penalty to Evan Bouchard 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Nic Dowd)
  118. P1 14:06
    Matt Savoie won faceoff against Brett Howden in offensive zone
  119. P1 14:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  120. P1 13:42
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  121. P1 13:24
    Shorthanded - Jeremy Lauzon credited with hit on Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  122. P1 13:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
  123. P1 12:56
    Power play - Connor McDavid won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
  124. P1 12:56
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  125. P1 12:56
    Penalty to Shea Theodore 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Jack Roslovic)
  126. P1 11:52
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  127. P1 11:52
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Matt Savoie assisted by Connor McDavid and Evan Bouchard
    1-0
  128. P1 11:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Adin Hill
  129. P1 10:41
    Brayden McNabb credited with hit on Mattias Ekholm in defensive zone
  130. P1 09:45
    SHOT
    Noah Hanifin shot blocked by teammate
  131. P1 09:09
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
  132. P1 08:28
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
  133. P1 08:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  134. P1 08:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shea Theodore
  135. P1 08:07
    SHOT
    Shea Theodore shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  136. P1 07:59
    Ivan Barbashev won faceoff against Josh Samanski in offensive zone
  137. P1 07:09
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  138. P1 06:48
    Oilers won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  139. P1 06:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Dickinson saved by Adin Hill
  140. P1 06:12
    Stoppage - Icing
  141. P1 06:05
    SHOT
    Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  142. P1 05:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  143. P1 05:13
    SHOT
    Jake Walman shot blocked by Shea Theodore
  144. P1 05:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Roslovic
  145. P1 05:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Adam Henrique saved by Adin Hill
  146. P1 04:30
    Oilers won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  147. P1 03:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Mark Stone
  148. P1 03:07
    Oilers won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  149. P1 02:23
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Colton Sissons in defensive zone
  150. P1 01:49
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  151. P1 01:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brett Howden saved by Connor Ingram
  152. P1 00:00
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
Stats
Oilers
STATS
Golden Knights
29Shots on Goal29
52% Faceoff Win % 48%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
15Penalty Infraction Mins13
15Hits21
14 Shots Blocked 19
13Giveaways15
OilersEDM
Golden KnightsVGK
29Shots on Goal29
52% Faceoff Win % 48%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
15Penalty Infraction Mins13
15Hits21
14 Shots Blocked 19
13Giveaways15

Oilers vs. Golden Knights: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Oilers vs. Golden Knights
  • Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Golden Knights favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Oilers 43¢, Golden Knights 57¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Oilers: 46%
  • Golden Knights: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Oilers a win probability of 46%, while the Golden Knights have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Golden Knights are more likely to beat the Oilers in the NHL game at T-Mobile Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Oilers vs. Golden Knights predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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