Oilers vs. Avalanche prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [3/10/2026]

The Colorado Avalanche will face the Edmonton Oilers in NHL action at Ball Arena on Tuesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Oilers vs. Avalanche game.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Oilers vs. Avs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Oilers and Avalanche 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 61% chance of defeating the Oilers.

According to our model, the Oilers (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the puck line, while the 7-goal over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Oilers vs. Avalanche odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Oilers	Avalanche
Puck Line	+1.5 (-155)	-1.5 (+130)
Moneyline	+145	-172
Total	o7 (-105)	u7 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Oilers vs. Avalanche picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Oilers +1.5	-155
Moneyline	Oilers	+145
Total	Under 7	-115

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 7 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Oilers vs. Avalanche player props

Who will score a goal in Oilers vs. Avalanche?

According to our model, Leon Draisaitl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Oilers vs. Avalanche.

Our projections give Draisaitl a 41.4% chance of scoring a goal at Ball Arena, while the star is a 7.8% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Edmonton Oilers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Leon Draisaitl	41.4%
Zach Hyman	36.5%
Connor McDavid	28.9%
Jack Roslovic	18.5%
Evan Bouchard	17.8%

Colorado Avalanche

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Martin Necas	38.7%
Nathan MacKinnon	37.4%
Brock Nelson	36.4%
Valeri Nichushkin	31.3%
Nazem Kadri	30.6%

First goal scorer predictions

Edmonton Oilers

Player	First Goal Probability
Leon Draisaitl	7.8%
Zach Hyman	6.3%
Connor McDavid	4.9%
Jack Roslovic	3.2%
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	3.1%

Colorado Avalanche

Player	First Goal Probability
Martin Necas	7.7%
Nathan MacKinnon	7.0%
Brock Nelson	6.4%
Nazem Kadri	6.0%
Valeri Nichushkin	5.4%

Oilers vs. Avs game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's action between the Avalanche and Oilers at Ball Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Edmonton Oilers vs. Colorado Avalanche
• Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Avalanche, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Oilers on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Oilers vs. Avalanche insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.