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Oilers vs. Avalanche Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Oilers vs. Avalanche NHL game on March 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Oilers
4
3
Mar 11, 2AM Ball Arena
Avalanche
Mar 11, 2AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Oilers
2 1 1 4
Avalanche
2 0 1 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
OilersEDM
Win %
100%
0%
AvalancheCOL
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Oilers
2 1 1 4
Avalanche
2 0 1 3
P3 19:46 Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 19:02 Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
P3 18:50 Martin Necas shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P3 17:14 Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
P3 15:33 Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 15:02 Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 14:13 Shot missed by Cale Makar
P3 12:22 Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 11:50 Power play - Shot missed by Devon Toews
P3 11:18 Power play - Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 09:58 Power play - Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
P3 08:57 Power play - Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
P3 08:17 Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Josh Manson
P3 07:50 Parker Kelly shot blocked by Jake Walman
P3 06:15 Brent Burns shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P3 04:38 Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 04:31 Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 03:43 Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 02:18 Power play - Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
P3 00:45 Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 19:35
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 19:25
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P3 19:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
P3 18:50
SHOT
Martin Necas shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P3 18:32
Oilers won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
P3 18:08
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
P3 17:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
P3 16:13
Jack Drury won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
P3 15:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 15:03
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P3 15:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 14:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Cale Makar
P3 14:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 13:32
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
P3 13:32
Stoppage - Icing
P3 13:00
Stoppage - Offside
P3 12:53
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P3 12:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 12:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 12:04
Giveaway by Devon Toews in offensive zone
P3 11:50
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Devon Toews
P3 11:18
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 09:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
P3 09:40
Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Jack Drury in defensive zone
P3 09:03
Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
P3 08:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
P3 08:20
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P3 08:17
SHOT
Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Josh Manson
P3 07:52
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jack Drury in defensive zone
P3 07:50
SHOT
Parker Kelly shot blocked by Jake Walman
P3 07:04
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
P3 06:15
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P3 04:41
Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
P3 04:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 04:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 03:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 02:52
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
P3 02:52
Stoppage - High Stick
P3 02:18
SHOT
Power play - Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
P3 00:45
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 00:00
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:53
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
P2 19:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
P2 19:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 19:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 19:25
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P2 19:25
Oilers replaced goalie. (Tristan Jarry)
P2 19:25
Stoppage - Video Review
P2 19:05
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 18:37
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 18:34
Shorthanded - Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P2 18:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Connor Ingram
P2 18:20
Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in offensive zone
P2 18:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock Nelson
P2 17:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Roslovic
P2 16:58
SHOT
Nazem Kadri shot blocked by teammate
P2 16:27
Stoppage - Offside
P2 15:46
SHOT
Shorthanded - Parker Kelly shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P2 15:28
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Connor Ingram
P2 14:51
SHOT
Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Cale Makar
P2 14:34
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
P2 14:22
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
P2 14:22
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 14:13
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P2 14:13
Stoppage - Icing
P2 13:07
Oilers won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
P2 12:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
P2 11:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Roslovic
P2 10:56
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P2 10:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 10:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
P2 09:44
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Matt Savoie in defensive zone
P2 09:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 09:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 08:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Necas
P2 08:01
SHOT
Martin Necas shot blocked by Jake Walman
P2 07:47
Oilers won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
P2 07:47
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 07:34
SHOT
Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P2 06:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Murphy
P2 05:18
Jack Drury won faceoff against Josh Samanski in defensive zone
P2 05:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trent Frederic saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 04:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Hyman
P2 04:15
GOAL
Goal scored by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins assisted by Darnell Nurse and Zach Hyman
3-2
P2 03:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Connor Ingram
P2 03:22
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P2 02:54
Giveaway by Jake Walman in defensive zone
P2 02:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zakhar Bardakov saved by Connor Ingram
P2 01:16
SHOT
Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P2 01:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Cale Makar
P2 00:12
Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P2 00:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:35
GOAL
Goal scored by Jack Roslovic assisted by Leon Draisaitl
2-2
P1 19:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P1 18:57
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
P1 18:50
Giveaway by Brett Kulak in defensive zone
P1 18:30
Jack Drury won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
P1 17:57
Giveaway by Connor Murphy in defensive zone
P1 17:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Connor Ingram
P1 17:19
Penalty to Nicolas Roy 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Trent Frederic)
P1 16:37
Trent Frederic credited with hit on Sam Malinski in offensive zone
P1 16:26
Josh Samanski won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P1 16:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Connor Ingram
P1 16:00
Jack Drury won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P1 15:41
Parker Kelly won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
P1 15:39
SHOT
Power play - Martin Necas shot blocked by teammate
P1 15:31
Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
P1 15:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Connor Ingram
P1 15:16
SHOT
Power play - Martin Necas shot blocked by teammate
P1 15:08
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Connor Ingram
P1 14:17
Oilers won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
P1 13:01
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Vasily Podkolzin in neutral zone
P1 12:37
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
P1 12:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Kasperi Kapanen
P1 11:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock Nelson
P1 10:25
Takeaway by Ross Colton in offensive zone
P1 09:51
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Nazem Kadri
P1 09:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P1 08:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Dickinson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P1 08:13
Oilers won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
P1 07:34
Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P1 07:34
Penalty to Brett Kulak 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Connor McDavid)
P1 07:16
SHOT
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Sam Malinski
P1 06:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P1 05:13
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Sam Malinski
P1 04:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Connor Ingram
P1 04:43
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in offensive zone
P1 04:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Connor Ingram
P1 03:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
P1 02:05
SHOT
Sam Malinski shot blocked by Jake Walman
P1 01:47
SHOT
Gavin Brindley shot blocked by Connor Murphy
P1 01:23
SHOT
Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Connor Murphy
P1 00:32
GOAL
Goal scored by Ross Colton assisted by Brock Nelson
0-1
P1 00:15
Ty Emberson credited with hit on Josh Manson in defensive zone
P1 00:00
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
Stats
Oilers
STATS
Avalanche
24Shots on Goal29
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
11Penalty Infraction Mins26
22Hits11
22Shots Blocked8
21Giveaways15
OilersEDM
AvalancheCOL
24Shots on Goal29
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
11Penalty Infraction Mins26
22Hits11
22Shots Blocked8
21Giveaways15

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Oilers vs. Avalanche: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Oilers vs. Avalanche
  • Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7
  • Moneyline Odds: Oilers +160, Avalanche -170

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Oilers: 39%
  • Avalanche: 61%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Oilers a win probability of 39%, while the Avalanche have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Oilers in the NHL game at Ball Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Oilers vs. Avalanche predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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