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Oilers vs. Ducks prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Game 4 [2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks predictions for NHL Sunday.
NHL Playoffs action continues on Sunday at 9:30 PM ET as the Edmonton Oilers lock horns with the Anaheim Ducks in the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Honda Center.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Oilers a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Ducks Game 4 matchup.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's Oilers vs. Ducks matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Oilers vs. Ducks prediction: Who will win Game 4?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL Playoffs game between the Oilers and Ducks, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Oilers a 54% chance of defeating the Ducks in Game 4 of the series.
According to our model, the Ducks (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the 7-goal over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Oilers vs. Ducks Game 4 odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Oilers | Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+170) | +1.5 (-200) |
| Moneyline | -132 | +115 |
| Total | o7 (-125) | u7 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Oilers vs. Ducks picks and best bet for Game 4
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Ducks +1.5 | -200 |
| Moneyline | Ducks | +115 |
| Total | Under 7 | +105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 7 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Oilers vs. Ducks player props
Who will score a goal in Oilers vs. Ducks?
According to our model, Leon Draisaitl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Oilers vs. Ducks.
Our projections give Draisaitl a 45.1% chance of scoring a goal at Honda Center, while the star is a 9.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 45.1% |
| Connor McDavid | 41.4% |
| Zach Hyman | 32.9% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 21.0% |
| Jack Roslovic | 20.5% |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cutter Gauthier | 33.3% |
| Leo Carlsson | 31.6% |
| Troy Terry | 25.5% |
| Alex Killorn | 25.0% |
| Mikael Granlund | 23.3% |
First goal scorer predictions
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 9.3% |
| Connor McDavid | 8.3% |
| Zach Hyman | 6.1% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 3.7% |
| Jack Roslovic | 3.0% |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cutter Gauthier | 6.0% |
| Leo Carlsson | 5.9% |
| Alex Killorn | 4.6% |
| Troy Terry | 4.2% |
| Ryan Poehling | 4.2% |
Oilers vs. Ducks Game 4 updates and essential details
Sunday's Game 4 between the Ducks and Oilers in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: Edmonton Oilers vs. Anaheim Ducks
- Date: Sunday, April 26, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Honda Center
The Stanley Cup Playoffs is the National Hockey League's annual elimination tournament to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
Sixteen teams, including the Oilers and Ducks, reached the 2026 NHL Playoffs, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Conclusion
We predict the Oilers, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Ducks in Sunday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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