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Denis Shapovalov vs. Rafael Jodar prediction, odds, picks for ATP Dallas Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Shapovalov vs Jodar predictions for ATP Dallas Open.
Denis Shapovalov will take on Rafael Jodar in the round of 32 at the ATP Dallas event on Tuesday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Denis Shapovalov as the most likely winner of the Shapovalov vs. Jodar match.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Shapovalov vs. Jodar prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Shapovalov-Jodar men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Shapovalov a 56% chance of winning against Jodar at the ATP Dallas Open tournament.
Additionally, Shapovalov has a 55% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Shapovalov (-0.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Denis Shapovalov vs. Rafael Jodar odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Shapovalov | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -125 | +112 |
| First Set | -111 | -111 |
| Game Spread | -0.5 (-120) | +0.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o23.5 (-105) | u23.5 (-140) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Shapovalov vs. Jodar picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Shapovalov | -125 |
| First Set | Jodar | -140 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 23.5 total games.
Shapovalov vs. Jodar updates and essential details
The ATP Dallas Open match between Denis Shapovalov and Rafael Jodar is scheduled to commence on Tuesday at 11:05 PM ET.
- Who: Denis Shapovalov vs. Rafael Jodar
- Date: Tuesday, February 10, 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:05 PM ET/8:05PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Dallas, USA Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Denis Shapovalov, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat Rafael Jodar at the ATP Dallas Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Shapovalov vs. Jodar insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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